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Red27
476120.8
492914.3
147418.8
Blue21
107325.9
19658.2
54225.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443502060801001201402721

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4761
#11
20.81.5
14.813.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.9
End0.0
blue by 5.1
25.91.4
15.414.0
Auto0.0
Teleop25.8
End0.0
Second
1474
#13
18.80.9
18.417.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.1
End0.0
red by 10.6
1965
#32
8.21.4
14.813.4
Auto0.2
Teleop8.0
End0.0
Third
4929
#17
14.31.5
11.39.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.6
End0.0
red by 8.4
5422
#35
5.91.4
7.86.4
Auto0.8
Teleop5.1
End0.0