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Red60
555610.4
500016.7
416914.5
Blue81
346617.4
24634.6
271316.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3455020801001201401606081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5000
#10
16.71.8
13.515.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.7
End0.0
blue by 17.9
246
#5
34.61.4
25.626.9
Auto0.5
Teleop34.1
End0.0
Second
4169
#14
14.51.8
13.815.6
Auto0.6
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 2.9
17.42.3
15.718.0
Auto0.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Third
5556
#23
10.41.8
11.613.4
Auto0.1
Teleop10.2
End0.0
blue by 5.6
2713
#15
16.02.3
12.514.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.3
End0.0