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Red65
346723.8
490533.4
431116.5
Blue60
492914.3
110018.0
356627.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605002040801001201401606560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.2
32.232.4
Auto0.7
Teleop32.7
End0.0
red by 6.1
27.30.6
20.020.6
Auto0.7
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Second
23.80.3
20.821.1
Auto0.8
Teleop22.9
End0.0
red by 5.8
1100
#19
18.01.0
20.421.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.1
End0.0
Third
4311
#12
16.50.3
8.08.3
Auto0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 2.2
4929
#17
14.31.0
13.514.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.6
End0.0