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Red41
44742.4
287626.3
105816.6
Blue3
556313.0
57529.1
404112.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32350206080100120413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.30.4
17.618.0
Auto0.8
Teleop25.5
End0.0
red by 13.3
5563
#28
13.02.2
7.85.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Second
1058
#26
16.60.6
11.111.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.7
End0.0
red by 4.5
4041
#27
12.12.2
14.111.9
Auto0.3
Teleop11.8
End0.0
Third
4474
#40
2.40.6
4.75.3
Auto0.0
Teleop2.4
End0.0
blue by 6.6
5752
#33
9.12.2
13.811.6
Auto0.0
Teleop9.1
End0.0