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Red60
19021.6
147418.8
545912.5
Blue55
105816.6
568714.4
416914.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46340204060801001206055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#22
21.60.7
19.620.3
Auto0.2
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 5.0
1058
#26
16.61.5
11.713.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.7
End0.0
Second
1474
#13
18.80.7
16.216.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.1
End0.0
red by 4.4
4169
#14
14.51.5
15.617.1
Auto0.6
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Third
5459
#24
12.51.2
9.911.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 1.9
5687
#29
14.41.5
10.011.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0