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Red50
431116.5
31921.8
17321.5
Blue59
107325.9
346617.4
41514.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334102060801001201405059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#16
21.81.2
16.617.8
Auto4.7
Teleop17.1
End0.0
blue by 4.1
25.91.5
18.620.1
Auto0.0
Teleop25.8
End0.0
Second
173
#18
21.51.2
11.012.1
Auto0.1
Teleop21.5
End0.0
red by 4.1
17.41.5
16.417.9
Auto0.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Third
4311
#12
16.51.2
8.39.5
Auto0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 12.4
4151
#36
4.11.5
6.58.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.3
End0.0