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Red45
173513.7
278514.8
431116.5
Blue75
476120.8
545912.5
287626.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31480204060801001201404575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4311
#12
16.51.2
9.510.8
Auto0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0
blue by 9.8
26.31.4
19.320.7
Auto0.8
Teleop25.5
End0.0
Second
2785
#20
14.81.2
10.311.5
Auto0.8
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 6.0
4761
#11
20.82.2
16.919.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Third
1735
#34
13.71.2
15.316.5
Auto0.4
Teleop13.3
End0.0
red by 1.2
5459
#24
12.52.2
11.113.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.9
End0.0