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Red16
492914.3
53473.8
31921.8
Blue35
500016.7
568714.4
346617.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414402060801001201401635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#16
21.82.1
17.815.7
Auto4.7
Teleop17.1
End0.0
red by 4.4
17.40.8
17.917.1
Auto0.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Second
4929
#17
14.32.1
16.114.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 2.4
5000
#10
16.70.8
15.714.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.7
End0.0
Third
5347
#39
3.82.1
9.17.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.8
End0.0
blue by 10.6
5687
#29
14.40.8
11.510.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0