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Red60
490926.3
346617.4
416914.5
Blue59
568714.4
490533.4
556313.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314302060801001201401606059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.32.2
13.215.4
Auto1.0
Teleop25.3
End0.0
blue by 7.0
33.41.1
25.526.6
Auto0.7
Teleop32.7
End0.0
Second
17.42.2
11.213.4
Auto0.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 3.0
5687
#29
14.439.9
50.310.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0
Third
4169
#14
14.52.2
9.611.7
Auto0.6
Teleop13.9
End0.0
red by 1.4
5563
#28
13.010.9
21.310.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.3
End0.0