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Red34
17216.4
346723.8
57529.1
Blue20
128915.5
5094.2
173513.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403802060801003420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.6
24.724.0
Auto0.8
Teleop22.9
End0.0
red by 8.2
1289
#25
15.51.0
15.414.4
Auto0.5
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Second
5752
#33
9.12.3
10.27.9
Auto0.0
Teleop9.1
End0.0
blue by 4.6
1735
#34
13.71.6
15.013.4
Auto0.4
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Third
1721
#38
6.40.6
8.37.7
Auto0.1
Teleop6.3
End0.0
red by 2.2
509
#37
4.21.6
9.27.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop4.2
End0.0