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Red48
17216.4
545912.5
24634.6
Blue52
555610.4
492914.3
57529.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48290204060801001204852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246
#5
34.60.1
27.627.7
Auto0.5
Teleop34.1
End0.0
red by 20.3
4929
#17
14.31.4
14.015.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.6
End0.0
Second
5459
#24
12.50.1
13.213.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.9
End0.0
red by 2.1
5556
#23
10.41.4
10.812.2
Auto0.1
Teleop10.2
End0.0
Third
1721
#38
6.40.1
5.75.8
Auto0.1
Teleop6.3
End0.0
blue by 2.7
5752
#33
9.11.4
8.19.5
Auto0.0
Teleop9.1
End0.0