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Red76
107325.9
431116.5
5094.2
Blue120
176834.9
490926.3
500016.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277705010015076120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.92.9
21.724.6
Auto0.0
Teleop25.8
End0.0
blue by 9.0
34.93.9
34.838.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop35.0
End0.0
Second
4311
#12
16.52.9
10.813.7
Auto0.1
Teleop16.4
End0.0
blue by 9.8
26.33.9
21.925.8
Auto1.0
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Third
509
#37
4.22.9
2.95.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop4.2
End0.0
blue by 12.5
5000
#10
16.73.9
14.918.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.7
End0.0