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Red77
115313.9
31921.8
356627.3
Blue28
105816.6
404112.1
278514.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503702060801001207728

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.31.4
20.521.9
Auto0.7
Teleop26.5
End0.0
red by 10.7
1058
#26
16.60.9
13.412.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.7
End0.0
Second
319
#16
21.82.0
15.717.7
Auto4.7
Teleop17.1
End0.0
red by 7.0
2785
#20
14.80.9
11.510.6
Auto0.8
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Third
1153
#31
13.92.0
13.215.2
Auto1.0
Teleop12.9
End0.0
red by 1.8
4041
#27
12.10.9
15.114.2
Auto0.3
Teleop11.8
End0.0