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Red32
349914.4
41514.1
476120.8
Blue15
44742.4
176113.7
173513.7
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35290204060801003215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4761
#11
20.80.2
18.017.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.9
End0.0
red by 7.1
1761
#30
13.70.7
13.212.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Second
3499
#21
14.40.2
13.913.7
Auto0.2
Teleop14.2
End0.0
red by 0.7
1735
#34
13.70.7
15.915.2
Auto0.4
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Third
4151
#36
4.10.2
3.23.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.3
End0.0
red by 1.7
4474
#40
2.40.7
2.21.5
Auto0.0
Teleop2.4
End0.0