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Red38
110018.0
105816.6
346723.8
Blue44
176834.9
115313.9
271316.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516901001503844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.81.2
24.923.7
Auto0.8
Teleop22.9
End0.0
blue by 11.1
34.91.6
38.737.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop35.0
End0.0
Second
1100
#19
18.01.2
18.617.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.1
End0.0
red by 2.0
2713
#15
16.01.6
14.512.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
1058
#26
16.61.2
12.611.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.7
End0.0
red by 2.7
1153
#31
13.91.6
15.213.6
Auto1.0
Teleop12.9
End0.0