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Red56
110018.0
404112.1
346617.4
Blue0
41514.1
17216.4
53473.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505020406080100560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1100
#19
18.00.7
17.318.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.1
End0.0
red by 11.6
1721
#38
6.40.7
5.05.7
Auto0.1
Teleop6.3
End0.0
Second
17.40.7
14.315.0
Auto0.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 13.3
4151
#36
4.10.7
3.03.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.3
End0.0
Third
4041
#27
12.10.7
12.813.5
Auto0.3
Teleop11.8
End0.0
red by 8.3
5347
#39
3.80.7
4.45.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.8
End0.0