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Red59
57529.1
24634.6
176113.7
Blue82
31921.8
490926.3
346723.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4473020601001201401605982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246
#5
34.60.4
29.429.8
Auto0.5
Teleop34.1
End0.0
red by 8.2
26.30.7
27.628.2
Auto1.0
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Second
1761
#30
13.70.5
12.513.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 10.1
23.80.7
23.724.3
Auto0.8
Teleop22.9
End0.0
Third
5752
#33
9.10.5
8.59.0
Auto0.0
Teleop9.1
End0.0
blue by 12.7
319
#16
21.80.7
19.920.6
Auto4.7
Teleop17.1
End0.0