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Red24
128915.5
490926.3
492914.3
Blue38
416914.5
271316.0
31921.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6246020801001201401602438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.31.8
28.226.5
Auto1.0
Teleop25.3
End0.0
red by 4.5
319
#16
21.80.7
20.619.9
Auto4.7
Teleop17.1
End0.0
Second
1289
#25
15.51.6
17.616.0
Auto0.5
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 0.4
2713
#15
16.00.7
14.614.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
4929
#17
14.31.8
16.114.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 0.2
4169
#14
14.50.7
15.114.4
Auto0.6
Teleop13.9
End0.0