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Red36
110018.0
349914.4
57529.1
Blue10
500016.7
476120.8
19658.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384902060801001201403610

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1100
#19
18.00.0
18.118.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.1
End0.0
blue by 2.8
4761
#11
20.82.2
19.717.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Second
3499
#21
14.40.0
14.314.4
Auto0.2
Teleop14.2
End0.0
blue by 2.3
5000
#10
16.72.2
18.816.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop16.7
End0.0
Third
5752
#33
9.10.0
9.09.1
Auto0.0
Teleop9.1
End0.0
red by 0.8
1965
#32
8.22.2
10.48.2
Auto0.2
Teleop8.0
End0.0