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Red62
83920.4
362324.1
318218.5
Blue105
17631.4
404836.4
199125.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286505010015062105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.13.3
11.214.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.3
End0.0
blue by 12.3
36.43.6
19.423.0
Auto1.1
Teleop35.2
End0.0
Second
839
#15
20.43.3
14.417.6
Auto0.9
Teleop19.6
End0.0
blue by 10.9
176
#2
31.42.2
25.127.2
Auto0.1
Teleop31.3
End0.0
Third
3182
#18
18.53.3
9.312.6
Auto1.8
Teleop16.8
End0.0
blue by 6.9
25.42.2
17.319.4
Auto0.3
Teleop25.2
End0.0