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Red30
237015.8
371919.0
320519.2
Blue33
18116.2
314628.5
66321.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363502060803033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3205
#23
19.20.6
17.517.0
Auto0.8
Teleop18.3
End0.0
blue by 9.3
28.50.4
14.714.4
Auto3.1
Teleop25.4
End0.0
Second
3719
#22
19.00.6
9.99.4
Auto0.5
Teleop18.5
End0.0
blue by 2.1
663
#21
21.10.4
8.48.0
Auto1.4
Teleop19.7
End0.0
Third
2370
#24
15.80.3
9.38.9
Auto1.2
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 0.4
181
#27
16.20.4
14.313.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0