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Red63
16628.5
320519.2
21318.0
Blue53
403415.2
318218.5
57126.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463402060801001201406353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#4
28.52.0
14.816.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop28.6
End0.0
red by 2.1
571
#11
26.41.3
14.215.5
Auto1.0
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Second
3205
#23
19.22.0
18.420.4
Auto0.8
Teleop18.3
End0.0
red by 0.7
3182
#18
18.51.3
15.216.5
Auto1.8
Teleop16.8
End0.0
Third
213
#25
18.02.0
12.214.1
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.4
End0.0
red by 2.8
4034
#30
15.21.3
7.99.2
Auto0.0
Teleop15.2
End0.0