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Red22
18116.2
199125.4
31632.2
Blue23
314628.5
358512.7
83920.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6239020801001201401602223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#3
32.23.2
25.622.5
Auto1.4
Teleop30.7
End0.0
red by 3.6
28.51.7
18.717.0
Auto3.1
Teleop25.4
End0.0
Second
25.41.9
19.317.4
Auto0.3
Teleop25.2
End0.0
red by 5.0
839
#15
20.41.7
16.414.6
Auto0.9
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Third
181
#27
16.23.2
15.312.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0
red by 3.5
3585
#33
12.71.7
8.77.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0