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Red57
66321.1
16628.5
237015.8
Blue113
404836.4
454619.0
31632.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5270010015057113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166
#4
28.50.0
25.025.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop28.6
End0.0
blue by 7.9
36.43.1
33.136.2
Auto1.1
Teleop35.2
End0.0
Second
663
#21
21.10.0
17.517.6
Auto1.4
Teleop19.7
End0.0
blue by 11.0
316
#3
32.23.1
24.928.1
Auto1.4
Teleop30.7
End0.0
Third
2370
#24
15.80.0
14.114.1
Auto1.2
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 3.2
4546
#16
19.03.1
11.714.8
Auto0.6
Teleop18.4
End0.0