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Red74
314628.5
15115.1
71623.0
Blue77
50121.1
409713.8
17717.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51470204060801001207477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.52.0
19.221.2
Auto3.1
Teleop25.4
End0.0
red by 7.4
501
#12
21.12.0
22.224.2
Auto0.5
Teleop20.6
End0.0
Second
716
#13
23.02.0
20.722.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop23.5
End0.0
red by 5.7
177
#32
17.42.0
14.516.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Third
151
#28
15.12.0
12.014.0
Auto0.3
Teleop14.8
End0.0
red by 1.2
4097
#31
13.82.0
12.914.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop14.2
End0.0