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Red42
17525.2
358512.7
362324.1
Blue8
216824.9
320519.2
578213.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70440206080100120140160428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#14
25.21.9
30.828.8
Auto1.7
Teleop23.4
End0.0
red by 0.3
2168
#17
24.93.0
19.216.2
Auto1.6
Teleop23.3
End0.0
Second
24.11.9
23.321.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.3
End0.0
red by 4.9
3205
#23
19.23.0
16.713.7
Auto0.8
Teleop18.3
End0.0
Third
3585
#33
12.71.9
14.712.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 0.4
5782
#26
13.23.0
13.410.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop13.6
End0.0