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Red54
403415.2
495821.3
17821.7
Blue64
71623.0
17525.2
237015.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566401001505464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178
#10
21.70.3
22.622.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop22.0
End0.0
blue by 3.5
175
#14
25.20.1
25.225.2
Auto1.7
Teleop23.4
End0.0
Second
4958
#19
21.30.3
21.621.3
Auto0.4
Teleop20.9
End0.0
blue by 1.8
716
#13
23.00.1
24.424.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop23.5
End0.0
Third
4034
#30
15.20.3
15.515.2
Auto0.0
Teleop15.2
End0.0
blue by 0.6
2370
#24
15.80.1
15.915.8
Auto1.2
Teleop14.6
End0.0