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Red51
169919.3
17717.4
17631.4
Blue24
358512.7
18116.2
404836.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71704060801001205124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#2
31.41.1
32.431.4
Auto0.1
Teleop31.3
End0.0
blue by 5.0
36.42.7
38.435.7
Auto1.1
Teleop35.2
End0.0
Second
1699
#20
19.31.2
21.720.5
Auto0.6
Teleop18.7
End0.0
red by 3.1
181
#27
16.22.7
19.116.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
177
#32
17.41.2
18.617.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
red by 4.6
3585
#33
12.72.7
15.412.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0