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Red21
454721.7
29635.1
394120.2
Blue35
29006.5
68614.4
162941.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30640501001502135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4547
#14
21.70.9
15.214.3
Auto0.3
Teleop21.4
End0.0
blue by 19.8
41.50.9
36.635.7
Auto5.4
Teleop36.1
End0.0
Second
3941
#24
20.20.8
13.813.0
Auto0.7
Teleop19.5
End0.0
red by 5.7
686
#32
14.40.7
15.614.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.7
End0.0
Third
2963
#57
5.11.3
7.46.1
Auto0.0
Teleop5.1
End0.0
blue by 1.4
2900
#55
6.51.2
9.07.8
Auto0.0
Teleop6.5
End0.0