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Red21
291420.2
365014.4
219914.6
Blue14
119513.2
159817.3
405013.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4623060801001202114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2914
#33
20.21.3
20.519.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.2
End0.0
red by 2.8
1598
#22
17.31.0
14.013.0
Auto0.0
Teleop17.3
End0.0
Second
2199
#43
14.61.9
13.711.8
Auto0.6
Teleop13.9
End0.0
red by 1.0
4050
#36
13.60.8
4.23.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.8
End0.0
Third
3650
#23
14.41.3
9.48.2
Auto0.5
Teleop13.8
End0.0
red by 1.1
1195
#37
13.21.1
9.18.0
Auto1.1
Teleop12.2
End0.0