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Red50
108630.7
111124.7
284918.1
Blue52
154714.2
374813.0
41375.0
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6023040801001201401605052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1086
#10
30.70.0
21.421.4
Auto0.2
Teleop30.5
End0.0
red by 16.6
1547
#46
14.21.4
14.816.2
Auto0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Second
1111
#18
24.70.0
20.920.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.8
End0.0
red by 11.7
3748
#17
13.01.3
5.56.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.1
End0.0
Third
2849
#19
18.10.0
13.813.8
Auto1.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 13.1
4137
#53
5.01.9
9.110.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.1
End0.0