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Red54
237734.2
40678.8
111124.7
Blue8
446414.0
291420.2
29617.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63320204080100120140548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.20.3
24.223.9
Auto0.4
Teleop33.8
End0.0
red by 14.0
2914
#33
20.21.5
19.317.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.2
End0.0
Second
1111
#18
24.70.3
20.920.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.8
End0.0
red by 10.7
4464
#35
14.01.5
11.910.3
Auto0.2
Teleop13.8
End0.0
Third
4067
#51
8.80.5
15.014.5
Auto0.3
Teleop8.5
End0.0
red by 1.2
2961
#49
7.62.5
7.04.5
Auto0.4
Teleop7.2
End0.0