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Qual 162015 Chesapeake Regional
Red18
18299.0
445619.9
41375.0
Blue2
51065.1
281914.3
379316.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422106080100120182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4456
#27
19.91.1
18.1→17.0
Auto0.5
Teleop19.5
End0.0
red by 3.3
3793
#42
16.71.9
7.2→5.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Second
1829
#48
9.01.8
10.9→9.0
Auto1.6
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 5.3
2819
#29
14.31.9
6.1→4.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Third
4137
#53
5.01.8
10.9→9.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.1
End0.0
blue by 0.1
5106
#54
5.11.9
11.7→9.8
Auto0.5
Teleop4.6
End0.0