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Red51
252815.6
161021.9
291420.2
Blue79
44922.5
162941.5
463817.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions456701001505179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1610
#40
21.90.1
19.319.4
Auto1.5
Teleop20.4
End0.0
blue by 19.6
41.50.7
35.736.4
Auto5.4
Teleop36.1
End0.0
Second
2914
#33
20.20.1
17.817.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.2
End0.0
blue by 2.3
449
#11
22.50.7
18.719.4
Auto0.5
Teleop22.0
End0.0
Third
2528
#26
15.60.1
12.912.9
Auto1.2
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 1.6
4638
#13
17.31.1
11.512.6
Auto0.6
Teleop16.7
End0.0