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Red20
171912.3
405013.6
492812.2
Blue0
29635.1
29126.2
29617.6
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26190103040506070200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4050
#36
13.60.3
3.43.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.8
End0.0
red by 5.9
2961
#49
7.61.3
4.53.3
Auto0.4
Teleop7.2
End0.0
Second
1719
#45
12.30.3
12.912.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.5
End0.0
red by 6.1
2912
#58
6.20.8
10.69.8
Auto0.2
Teleop6.0
End0.0
Third
4928
#47
12.20.5
10.09.5
Auto0.3
Teleop11.9
End0.0
red by 7.2
2963
#57
5.11.3
6.14.8
Auto0.0
Teleop5.1
End0.0