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Red27
51065.1
48218.7
138930.3
Blue59
111124.7
494510.8
236343.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40650501001502002759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.30.9
24.924.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop30.5
End0.0
blue by 13.5
43.90.3
31.331.0
Auto0.9
Teleop42.9
End0.0
Second
4821
#52
8.70.9
10.79.8
Auto0.9
Teleop7.8
End0.0
blue by 16.0
1111
#18
24.70.2
20.620.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.8
End0.0
Third
5106
#54
5.11.5
9.88.3
Auto0.5
Teleop4.6
End0.0
blue by 5.7
4945
#50
10.80.4
11.911.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.0
End0.0