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Red102
83626.0
159817.3
253432.7
Blue56
49498.7
454721.7
29006.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56210408010012014010256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.72.7
23.726.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop33.1
End0.0
red by 11.0
4547
#14
21.71.6
14.315.9
Auto0.3
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Second
836
#9
26.02.7
16.319.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop26.3
End0.0
red by 17.3
4949
#20
8.71.4
5.16.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop9.1
End0.0
Third
1598
#22
17.33.0
12.815.8
Auto0.0
Teleop17.3
End0.0
red by 10.9
2900
#55
6.52.4
7.810.2
Auto0.0
Teleop6.5
End0.0