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Qual 32015 Chesapeake Regional
Red18
445619.9
394120.2
492812.2
Blue2
6159.9
48218.7
219914.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4833020406080100182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3941
#24
20.21.6
15.4→13.8
Auto0.7
Teleop19.5
End0.0
red by 5.6
2199
#43
14.62.9
16.6→13.7
Auto0.6
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Second
4456
#27
19.91.6
19.8→18.1
Auto0.5
Teleop19.5
End0.0
red by 10.0
615
#34
9.92.9
8.4→5.6
Auto0.1
Teleop9.8
End0.0
Third
4928
#47
12.22.5
12.2→9.8
Auto0.3
Teleop11.9
End0.0
red by 3.6
4821
#52
8.71.9
11.5→9.6
Auto0.9
Teleop7.8
End0.0