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Qual 42015 Chesapeake Regional
Red38
454721.7
446414.0
253717.3
Blue93
51065.1
169073.3
171912.3
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36790501001502003893

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4547
#14
21.70.4
15.6→15.2
Auto0.3
Teleop21.4
End0.0
blue by 51.6
1690
#1
73.30.9
52.6→53.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop73.6
End0.0
Second
2537
#30
17.30.3
16.3→15.9
Auto0.1
Teleop17.1
End0.0
red by 5.0
1719
#45
12.31.2
12.1→13.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Third
4464
#35
14.00.3
12.2→11.9
Auto0.2
Teleop13.8
End0.0
red by 8.9
5106
#54
5.11.5
10.2→11.7
Auto0.5
Teleop4.6
End0.0