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Red48
159817.3
171912.3
291420.2
Blue53
268214.5
14469.5
284918.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47300204060801004853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2914
#33
20.20.1
17.817.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.2
End0.0
red by 2.1
2849
#19
18.11.6
12.514.1
Auto1.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0
Second
1598
#22
17.30.1
15.815.9
Auto0.0
Teleop17.3
End0.0
red by 2.8
2682
#38
14.51.0
11.412.4
Auto0.2
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
1719
#45
12.30.1
12.612.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.5
End0.0
red by 2.7
1446
#44
9.51.6
9.611.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop10.0
End0.0