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Red52
296421.0
119513.2
454721.7
Blue4
41375.0
45148.8
111124.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40310206080100524

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4547
#14
21.70.6
15.916.5
Auto0.3
Teleop21.4
End0.0
blue by 3.0
1111
#18
24.71.2
20.419.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.8
End0.0
Second
21.00.6
13.614.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 12.2
4514
#41
8.81.2
4.73.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.0
End0.0
Third
1195
#37
13.21.0
10.911.9
Auto1.1
Teleop12.2
End0.0
red by 8.2
4137
#53
5.01.9
8.46.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.1
End0.0