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Red42
252815.6
237734.2
154714.2
Blue50
48218.7
445619.9
253432.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5550203040607080904250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.20.7
26.125.4
Auto0.4
Teleop33.8
End0.0
red by 1.5
32.70.1
26.426.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop33.1
End0.0
Second
2528
#26
15.60.7
15.414.7
Auto1.2
Teleop14.5
End0.0
blue by 4.3
4456
#27
19.90.1
16.716.5
Auto0.5
Teleop19.5
End0.0
Third
1547
#46
14.20.7
14.413.7
Auto0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
red by 5.5
4821
#52
8.70.1
9.89.6
Auto0.9
Teleop7.8
End0.0