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Red42
162941.5
263823.4
281914.3
Blue95
6159.9
29617.6
236343.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions703502060801001201404295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.51.3
36.435.2
Auto5.4
Teleop36.1
End0.0
blue by 2.3
43.92.9
31.033.9
Auto0.9
Teleop42.9
End0.0
Second
2638
#31
23.41.3
25.924.6
Auto-0.4
Teleop23.8
End0.0
red by 13.5
615
#34
9.94.4
7.912.3
Auto0.1
Teleop9.8
End0.0
Third
2819
#29
14.32.1
4.92.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop14.8
End0.0
red by 6.7
2961
#49
7.64.4
3.37.7
Auto0.4
Teleop7.2
End0.0