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Red54
219914.6
494510.8
7927.0
Blue116
169073.3
44922.5
49498.7
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions319205015020025054116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79
#6
27.00.6
18.819.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop27.3
End0.0
blue by 46.3
73.31.5
59.160.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop73.6
End0.0
Second
2199
#43
14.61.0
11.712.7
Auto0.6
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 7.9
449
#11
22.51.5
19.821.3
Auto0.5
Teleop22.0
End0.0
Third
4945
#50
10.81.0
11.512.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.0
End0.0
red by 2.0
4949
#20
8.71.5
6.58.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop9.1
End0.0