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Qual 532015 Chesapeake Regional
Red100
88817.1
108630.7
492812.2
Blue104
454721.7
44922.5
291420.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43550100150100104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1086
#10
30.72.7
23.2→25.9
Auto0.2
Teleop30.5
End0.0
red by 8.2
449
#11
22.52.4
21.9→24.3
Auto0.5
Teleop22.0
End0.0
Second
888
#15
17.12.7
11.6→14.3
Auto0.9
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 4.6
4547
#14
21.72.4
15.5→18.0
Auto0.3
Teleop21.4
End0.0
Third
4928
#47
12.24.5
11.4→15.9
Auto0.3
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 7.9
2914
#33
20.22.4
18.0→20.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop20.2
End0.0