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Qual 542015 Chesapeake Regional
Red24
394120.2
161021.9
51154.2
Blue65
284918.1
494510.8
138930.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375801001502465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1610
#40
21.90.9
20.3→19.4
Auto1.5
Teleop20.4
End0.0
blue by 8.4
1389
#8
30.30.4
26.4→26.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop30.5
End0.0
Second
3941
#24
20.20.9
17.0→16.1
Auto0.7
Teleop19.5
End0.0
red by 2.1
2849
#19
18.10.7
14.3→15.0
Auto1.4
Teleop16.6
End0.0
Third
5115
#56
4.21.5
4.8→3.3
Auto2.6
Teleop1.7
End0.0
blue by 6.5
4945
#50
10.80.7
15.9→16.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.0
End0.0