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Red12
154714.2
328310.3
405013.6
Blue14
18299.0
49498.7
446414.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36320102040506070801214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1547
#46
14.21.2
15.113.9
Auto0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
red by 0.1
4464
#35
14.01.0
15.114.1
Auto0.2
Teleop13.8
End0.0
Second
4050
#36
13.61.2
6.24.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.8
End0.0
red by 4.5
1829
#48
9.01.6
8.16.5
Auto1.6
Teleop7.5
End0.0
Third
3283
#25
10.32.1
15.413.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop10.3
End0.0
red by 1.6
4949
#20
8.71.0
10.29.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop9.1
End0.0