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Red22
159817.3
29617.6
37515.5
Blue4
51065.1
41375.0
29126.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382206080100224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1598
#22
17.30.7
16.015.2
Auto0.0
Teleop17.3
End0.0
red by 11.1
2912
#58
6.21.1
9.38.2
Auto0.2
Teleop6.0
End0.0
Second
375
#21
15.50.7
14.313.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.6
End0.0
red by 10.4
5106
#54
5.11.8
11.19.4
Auto0.5
Teleop4.6
End0.0
Third
2961
#49
7.61.2
6.55.2
Auto0.4
Teleop7.2
End0.0
red by 2.6
4137
#53
5.01.8
4.93.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.1
End0.0