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Red60
37515.5
88817.1
154714.2
Blue42
5316.8
159817.3
237734.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36620501001502006042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#15
17.10.9
14.315.2
Auto0.9
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 17.1
34.20.9
28.727.8
Auto0.4
Teleop33.8
End0.0
Second
375
#21
15.50.9
13.514.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.6
End0.0
blue by 1.8
1598
#22
17.30.9
15.214.3
Auto0.0
Teleop17.3
End0.0
Third
1547
#46
14.20.9
13.914.8
Auto0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 2.6
53
#28
16.80.9
16.315.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop17.1
End0.0