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Red68
463817.3
264225.0
296421.0
Blue20
365014.4
51065.1
49498.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6223040801001201406820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2642
#12
25.00.5
24.725.2
Auto0.1
Teleop24.9
End0.0
red by 10.7
3650
#23
14.40.5
12.411.9
Auto0.5
Teleop13.8
End0.0
Second
21.00.5
17.518.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop21.4
End0.0
red by 12.3
4949
#20
8.70.5
8.37.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop9.1
End0.0
Third
4638
#13
17.30.8
16.116.9
Auto0.6
Teleop16.7
End0.0
red by 12.2
5106
#54
5.10.8
9.48.5
Auto0.5
Teleop4.6
End0.0